Polish exports to Ukraine after the start of Russia’s full-scale invasion in 2022 have increased by 75% – from approximately 2% to 3.5% of the total share of Poland’s exports.

After 2022, Poland’s trade with 12 countries of Eastern Europe, the South Caucasus and Central Asia saw a “significant geographical reorientation”. In particular, while in 2021 Russia accounted for almost 3% of Polish exports, in 2024 its share fell to 0.5%. At the same time, Ukraine became Poland’s most important trading partner in the East.

Experts point to the potential for growth in trade with countries seeking integration with the EU, in particular Moldova, as well as with states showing high rates of economic development, such as Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan.

Despite changes in the trade structure, the overall share of the 12 post-Soviet countries in Polish exports remained relatively stable. This is explained by a simultaneous reduction in dependence on the Russian market, a rapid increase in exports to Ukraine after the start of the full-scale war, and the maintenance of economic ties with less risky markets, particularly Kazakhstan.

At the same time, more significant changes occurred in imports: the region’s share in Poland’s purchases decreased from 8% in 2021 to 2% in 2024. The main reason was the cessation of imports of Russian energy resources.

Reference source: http://surl.li/asdhjkweruuuyr